Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.932956 5.342811 5.796996 6.343108 6.989589 7.740714 8.695398
2025-02-09 4.451535 4.997989 5.646766 6.492888 7.598863 9.047201 11.190940
2025-02-16 4.052455 4.677001 5.459938 6.553160 8.116491 10.423735 14.487087
2025-02-23 3.704781 4.370008 5.241551 6.531601 8.534565 11.868635 19.064177
2025-03-02 3.327867 3.980712 4.861043 6.216841 8.450161 12.534547 23.145059
2025-03-09 3.074913 3.729890 4.639282 6.099285 8.665922 13.916889 31.667059
2025-03-16 2.808426 3.435550 4.321985 5.782845 8.462996 14.398381 39.546044
2025-03-23 2.665014 3.300559 4.222930 5.804472 8.908684 16.785910 72.900891
2025-03-30 2.517241 3.146415 4.077967 5.725300 9.141838 18.945065 172.783792
2025-04-06 2.368803 2.979904 3.897464 5.556313 9.140612 20.502119 939.708251
2025-04-13 2.215988 2.796954 3.675669 5.282976 8.833928 20.754855 NaN
2025-04-20 2.151018 2.740764 3.651665 5.375714 9.449064 26.002123 NaN
2025-04-27 2.136044 2.768803 3.784660 5.837430 11.412678 49.617147 NaN
2025-05-04 2.076875 2.723965 3.791236 6.053434 12.926523 105.707938 NaN
2025-05-11 2.008515 2.659428 3.756947 6.179288 14.339304 462.019657 NaN
2025-05-18 1.934934 2.581119 3.689868 6.219030 15.548556 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.834907 2.452995 3.518978 5.974614 15.293557 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.763052 2.367565 3.421344 5.899809 15.907834 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.675663 2.251493 3.256629 5.626977 15.276874 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.628950 2.201285 3.214100 5.668342 16.564360 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.575690 2.136940 3.138727 5.608825 17.238822 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.517618 2.061511 3.036116 5.458409 17.185430 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 1.453216 1.972613 2.901709 5.202720 16.204491 NaN NaN